Independent News & Media (IN&M), the publisher of the two up-for-sale papers, and Lebedev, owner of the London Evening Standard, are likely to seek a month extension to their period of exclusive talks, which began in December last year.
The source said: "The deal is likely to go ahead as planned. But there are a few sticking points. I expect it to be completed by the middle of March."
One sticking point in negotiations is resolving printing contract issues between the two parties, along with the transfer of staff. The Independent currently holds a long-running printing contract with Trinity Mirror.
Sources also revealed that Lebedev is considering dispensing with The Independent's £1 cover price and boosting its circulation as an alternative to maintaining the status quo with a paper that has been shedding readers in recent years.
Discussions over taking the paper free, which would put Lebedev in the unique position of owning a morning and afternoon free newspaper, have centred on ballooning The Independent's distribution from its current 185,000 copies to 500,000. Should it be successful and drive up sufficient additional advertising revenue, distribution would rise to between 700,000 and one million copies.
Sources said Lebedev is keen to take on Associated Newspapers-owned The Metro, which distributes around 1.3 million free copies around the country, initially in the capital and ultimately the rest of the UK.
One source said: "He is definitely looking at going free in the capital and ramping up its distribution. It is not clear if he will go immediately free across the rest of the country."
The Metro currently holds the lucrative contract to distribute newspapers from bins on the London Underground. A tender was put out last year, but it is unclear if Lebedev has bid for the contract. Hand distribution of 700,000 free copies of The Independent would, said a source, be "fiendishly expensive".
There is also the difficulty of scaling up the printing of The Independent to such an extent. The London Evening Standard, which Daily Mail & General Trust (DMGT) has a 24.9% stake in, is printed in Surrey Quays, as are some copies of The Daily Mail. There is not thought to be excess capacity at the site.
INM said it didn't comment on speculation. Alexander Lebedev was unavailable for comment.




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